The incident as pictured in a contemporary newspaper |
It's been a century since that 28th
of June which ended the world as it was known since then, although
The Great War wouldn't start until a month later. Archduke Franz
Ferdinand of Austria, heir presumptive to the Austria-Hungarian
throne, was in a trip to observe the scheduled military manoeuvres in
Bosnia, as commanded a year earlier by the Emperor Franz Joseph I
(Empress
Sisi's husband,
for those of you fond of romantic literature). After a brief
inspection of the military barracks, the six car motorcade led Franz
Ferdinand and his wife Duchess Sophie to open the state museum of
Sarajevo in its new premises.
Danilo Ilic, local leader of the Serbian Black Hand, had spread six
of his men along the motorcade route to make they wouldn't miss their
chance. Two of them missed their shot. The third one, Nedeljco
Cabrinovik, threw his bomb at 10:10am but the timed detonator made it
explode under the next car or the parade. Alerted by the explosion
the procession sped away towards the town hall, cancelling the visit
to the museum. The other three murderers failed to act as the cars
passed them at high speed. History would have been so different if
Franz Ferdinand stayed in instead of going to the Sarajevo Hospital
to pay a visit to the affected by the explosion. On that second
motorcade they were supposed to avoid trouble using a different
route, but no one told the driver and thus they ended up being too
close to Gavrilo Princip position, one of the murderers who after
failing had moved to a better position. Princip got as close as five
feet and fired two shots with a Belgian-made 9x17mm semi-automatic
pistol. The first bullet wounded the Archduke in the jugular vein,
the second inflected an abdominal wound on the Duchess. Both died the
same day. The Austria-Hungarian Empire demanded Serbia an
explanation, this one answered that the matter did not concern the
Serbian Government. So the former sent the July Ultimatum, which was
not conceded, and then the declaration of war. Germany was an ally of
the Empire while the Kingdom of Serbia was supported by Russia,
member of the Triple Entente alongside France and the United Kingdom.
Hence the conflict between Serbia and Austria-Hungary was the trigger
of the first world wide conflict.
Alliances map of Europe in 1914 |
But why did Serbia attack its neighbour? That goes
back to the Treaty of Berlin signed in 1878 by the United Kingdom,
France, Germany, the Austria-Hungarian Empire, Italy and the Russian
Empire. With that treaty Serbia, Romania and Montenegro where
recognised as independent kingdoms, but Bosnia remained attached to
the Austria-Hungarian Empire. On the first years of the 20th
Century Serbian military officers led by Dragutin Dimitrijevic, who
also took part on the 1914 assassination as the leader of the Black
Hand group, stormed into the Serbian Royal Palace, killed the former
king and installed in its place Peter I of Karadordevic. A new
dynasty more nationalistic was born and their purpose was to reunify
all the territories that belonged to the Serbian Empire (which
collapsed on 1371, get over it!) including Bosnia.
So even if Austria-Hungary (and Germany) longed for an excuse to
attack, it was originally Serbia who, in the shadows, broke the
Treaty of Berlin. Once the conflict started the Allies came out
defending one each other and although the Triple Entente was helping
the “guilty” kingdom it really didn't matter any more because all
these countries had little unsolved issues between them. The tension
had been in the air for so long and the death of Franz Ferdinand was
only the straw that broke the ice.
What would had happen if the Archduke had listened to his wife fears
instead of enjoying the chance of a day out with her (as a Czech
countess she was treated as a commoner at the Austrian Court so
public displays of affection were not aloud, not even to sit next to
her husband)? Highly probably, and sadly, history wouldn't have
change much. Germany or Russian, the most eager for battle, would
have found another excuse among their allies to face each other and
extend their territories. Who knows if in that case Germany would
also have had to pay, unfairly, most of the costs of the war and
hence lead Europe, and the world, to the second major conflict of the
last century. Because, after all, the Second World War was in a huge
part the continuation of these unsolved issues that had been wounding
Europe for so long time.
Archduk Franz Ferdinand and Duquess Sophia on 28th June 1914 in Sarajevo |